Mexican Sorghum: 7% Drop in Cultivated Area Amid Drought and Price Slump

Recently, the February global production report released by the United States Department of Agriculture showed that Mexico's 2024/25 sorghum production is estimated at 4.2 million tons, a decrease of 7% from the previous month, a decrease of 6% from the previous year, and a decrease of 8% from the five-year average. Harvested area is estimated at 1.2 million hectares, down 9% from last month, down 7% from last year, and down 11% from the five-year average. Yield is estimated at 3.50 tons per hectare, 3% higher than last month, slightly higher than last year, and 3% higher than the five-year average. Mexico grows two seasons of sorghum every year, with summer sorghum accounting for about 45% of production and winter sorghum accounting for about 55%. Sowing of summer sorghum is completed in August and harvest is completed in January. This year's top producing area, Guanajuato, has lower yields. 



The state accounts for 44% of Mexico's summer sorghum production. Due to lower profitability and limited water resources, Guanajuato farmers planted 11% less summer sorghum area compared to the same period last year. A severe drought starting in 2023 has limited water availability for summer crops in 2024. In Sinaloa, which accounts for 10% of the national production, severe drought continued until the summer of 2024, resulting in farmers in the state planting only 11,000 hectares, a sharp decrease of 71% year-on-year. Winter sorghum crops are typically planted between September and March and harvested between March and July, with approximately 77% of winter production produced in Tamaulipas. According to a report by the local farmers association, the cultivated area in Tamaulipas may decrease by 27% to about 550,000 hectares due to relatively low prices. Due to above-average rainfall during the monsoon, current soil moisture is sufficient for planting.